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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.41+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.07+5.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.52+2.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.35+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.15+1.79vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39+1.76vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.72+2.45vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.27+3.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-2.56vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+2.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07-1.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.40-5.04vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.90+3.44vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.67-1.66vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.20-0.55vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.64vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-5.54vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.76-5.42vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-2.41-4.07vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-3.03-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65University of California at San Diego0.4112.2%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Davis0.077.0%1st Place
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5.26University of California at San Diego0.5213.8%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Berkeley0.3511.2%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Los Angeles0.119.2%1st Place
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7.79University of California at San Diego-0.157.7%1st Place
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8.76Arizona State University-0.394.7%1st Place
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10.45California State University Monterey Bay-0.724.1%1st Place
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12.69San Diego State University-1.272.4%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Los Angeles-0.037.0%1st Place
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13.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.572.4%1st Place
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13.44University of California at San Diego-1.461.9%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Santa Cruz-1.072.1%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Berkeley-0.404.7%1st Place
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18.44Arizona State University-2.900.7%1st Place
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14.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.671.7%1st Place
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16.45University of California at Davis-2.201.1%1st Place
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14.36University of California at San Diego-1.721.7%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.7%1st Place
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14.58Arizona State University-1.761.2%1st Place
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16.93University of California at Berkeley-2.410.9%1st Place
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18.73University of California at Davis-3.030.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivin Vinil | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| David Spector | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Quick | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Priyah Koren | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 20.0% | 28.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 10.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Childress | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| John Cornet | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 12.4% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.