← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.71+9.47vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.71+4.25vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.75vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.74+1.96vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.82+4.68vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.58+4.82vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.32+4.87vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.84-2.41vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.15vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.18-1.51vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University2.97-1.76vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.67-1.24vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University2.85-3.51vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.68vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-5.78vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.75-5.88vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.74-6.68vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University2.61-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.47Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.25College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.75U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
5.96Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.68Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.82Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.87Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
5.59University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
11.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.49Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.24Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.76George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
9.49Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
11.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
10.12Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
10.32Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
10.48Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.