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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+9.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+7.07vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.04vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+3.24vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-2.42vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+1.78vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-3.79vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-1.75vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.74-1.52vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.53vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.67vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.75-4.93vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.72vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.32-4.95vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.07Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.78Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.48Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.33Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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12.05Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.17George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.3% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.