← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University5.19+5.51vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University4.33+8.12vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida4.10+8.09vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University4.52+4.90vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University4.78+2.85vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.85+1.58vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+0.67vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.98+3.20vs Predicted
-
9Brown University4.49+0.06vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.76+2.42vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston4.76-2.90vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.86vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont4.60-4.52vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University3.92-2.77vs Predicted
-
15Boston College4.89-7.63vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.43vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-7.69vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College4.15-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.51Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
-
10.12Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
-
11.09University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
-
8.9Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
7.85Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
7.58Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
-
7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
-
11.2Stanford University3.980.0%1st Place
-
9.06Brown University4.490.0%1st Place
-
12.42Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
-
8.1College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
-
10.14U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
-
8.48University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
-
11.23Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
-
7.37Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
13.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
9.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
10.4SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Tomas Hornos | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Mitchell Hall | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Barrows | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Justin Doane | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.4% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Robert Vann | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Gary Herring | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 27.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.