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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+8.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+7.76vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+4.99vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+4.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+3.70vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58+2.73vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-2.99vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.22vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-4.84vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.00vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-2.75vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-4.17vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-5.92vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.65vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.68vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.85-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.76Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.37Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.73Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.83Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.08Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.51Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.