← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego0.52+4.49vs Predicted
-
2California State University Monterey Bay-0.72+8.58vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Davis0.07+4.29vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-0.63+6.20vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-0.39+4.13vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+1.62vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.41-1.08vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.35-1.82vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.78vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.88vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.72+3.88vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis-2.20+4.66vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+1.27vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.21vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-1.25vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.67-1.36vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07-4.82vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley-0.25-9.46vs Predicted
-
19San Diego State University-1.27-5.77vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University-1.76-4.96vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis-3.03-1.72vs Predicted
-
22Arizona State University-2.90-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.49University of California at San Diego0.5213.2%1st Place
-
10.58California State University Monterey Bay-0.724.5%1st Place
-
7.29University of California at Davis0.077.6%1st Place
-
10.2University of California at Berkeley-0.634.2%1st Place
-
9.13Arizona State University-0.394.8%1st Place
-
7.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.037.3%1st Place
-
5.92University of California at San Diego0.4112.4%1st Place
-
6.18University of California at Berkeley0.3511.2%1st Place
-
8.22University of California at San Diego-0.156.2%1st Place
-
7.12University of California at Los Angeles0.117.6%1st Place
-
14.88University of California at San Diego-1.721.5%1st Place
-
16.66University of California at Davis-2.200.9%1st Place
-
14.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.8%1st Place
-
13.79University of California at San Diego-1.461.6%1st Place
-
13.75University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.9%1st Place
-
14.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.670.9%1st Place
-
12.18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.072.4%1st Place
-
8.54University of California at Berkeley-0.256.2%1st Place
-
13.23San Diego State University-1.272.1%1st Place
-
15.04Arizona State University-1.761.3%1st Place
-
19.28University of California at Davis-3.030.2%1st Place
-
18.99Arizona State University-2.900.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Alexander | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 12.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Linnea Jackson | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 9.9% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Priyah Koren | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 20.8% | 39.1% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 21.0% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.