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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+9.72vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.07vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+5.38vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+2.58vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.52vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01+0.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.40vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-0.79vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.60-0.38vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.04+0.82vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.73+1.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.30-2.53vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.72-1.35vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-5.08vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.33-5.44vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-7.51vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.51-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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11.72Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.38Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.62College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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11.82Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.27Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.47Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.65Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.56Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 20.4% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 22.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 18.5% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.