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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+3.81vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.35vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.74-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.24+3.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.68+1.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+3.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.38-0.93vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.77+3.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.56+1.39vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.27-1.23vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.44-6.28vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.22+1.35vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.71-2.49vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.18-0.95vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.35vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-3.32vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.89-1.17vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.81vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-4.92vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-2.41-2.41vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.09-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93California Poly Maritime Academy2.0720.1%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.4410.9%1st Place
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6.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.339.7%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.358.8%1st Place
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9.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.2%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.7414.4%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Los Angeles0.242.9%1st Place
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9.11University of California at San Diego0.684.8%1st Place
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12.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.2%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.103.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Southern California0.383.8%1st Place
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15.41University of California at Davis-0.771.0%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Berkeley-0.561.6%1st Place
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12.77San Diego State University-0.272.4%1st Place
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8.72California State University Monterey Bay0.445.3%1st Place
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17.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.220.6%1st Place
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14.51University of California at Berkeley-0.711.5%1st Place
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17.05University of California at San Diego-1.180.7%1st Place
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16.65University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
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16.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.9%1st Place
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19.83California State University Channel Islands-1.890.2%1st Place
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20.19University of California at San Diego-1.990.1%1st Place
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18.08University of California at Santa Cruz-1.400.7%1st Place
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21.59California State University Channel Islands-2.410.0%1st Place
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20.8Arizona State University-2.090.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Collins | 20.1% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 14.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Puts | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| James Guiraud | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Liam Patrick | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Haugen | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Megan Saenz | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.5% |
| Althea White | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 30.8% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.