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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.13vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.04vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+4.88vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.43vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.04+6.56vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.33+4.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+2.46vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+0.20vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.73+3.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.43vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-1.07vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.72+1.25vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09-1.73vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.60-4.94vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-7.42vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.30-5.28vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.35vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.56Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.55Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.96Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.93George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.25Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.27Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.06College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.72Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 20.5% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 17.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 23.4% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.