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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+3.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.63+9.01vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.39+6.76vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.52+2.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.35+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.41+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.07+0.81vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.72+3.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.15-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.25-1.63vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-3.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.76vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.27-0.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-0.25vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.67-0.28vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.07-3.92vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.76-1.89vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.20-1.25vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.72-4.17vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-3.03-0.82vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.90-2.09vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97California Poly Maritime Academy0.8615.6%1st Place
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11.01University of California at Berkeley-0.633.3%1st Place
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9.76Arizona State University-0.394.3%1st Place
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6.06University of California at San Diego0.5211.7%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Berkeley0.359.3%1st Place
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6.59University of California at San Diego0.419.2%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Davis0.077.8%1st Place
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11.5California State University Monterey Bay-0.723.4%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Los Angeles0.117.2%1st Place
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8.98University of California at San Diego-0.155.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Berkeley-0.254.7%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.036.2%1st Place
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14.76University of California at San Diego-1.461.4%1st Place
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13.96San Diego State University-1.272.1%1st Place
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14.75University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.2%1st Place
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15.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.671.4%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Santa Cruz-1.072.1%1st Place
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16.11Arizona State University-1.760.9%1st Place
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17.75University of California at Davis-2.200.7%1st Place
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15.83University of California at San Diego-1.721.1%1st Place
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20.18University of California at Davis-3.030.2%1st Place
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19.91Arizona State University-2.900.4%1st Place
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15.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Alexander | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Priyah Koren | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.4% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| cecilia rothman-salado | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 20.2% | 38.2% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 32.5% |
| Timothy Quick | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.