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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.11vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+8.28vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.72+10.20vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+4.18vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.33+5.34vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.60+3.34vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-0.15vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-0.41vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56+0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-2.15vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-1.14vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.81vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.04-2.61vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-4.43vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.09-4.46vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.73-3.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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13.2Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.34Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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6.85Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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11.39Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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13.05Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 19.8% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 21.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 20.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.