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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+6.98vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.51+7.13vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+7.54vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+1.91vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-1.94vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.04+4.82vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.60+1.42vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.33+1.60vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+0.34vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-2.54vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.99vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.30-2.36vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.29-3.54vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-5.35vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-8.23vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.72-3.83vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-10.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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4.06Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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11.82Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.42College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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10.6Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.46Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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13.17Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 21.6% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 24.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.