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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+8.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.51+7.14vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.60+5.39vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+1.91vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09+4.61vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-1.29vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72+3.34vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.76vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.30-0.89vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-2.35vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-6.50vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.33-4.41vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.31vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.04-5.05vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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4.1Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.14George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.61Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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13.34Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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11.11Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.65Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.59Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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11.95Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.3% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 24.7% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.