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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.07vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.51+7.89vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+6.75vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+7.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.42vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.33+4.42vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01+0.53vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-1.25vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+0.91vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.60-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-0.02vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-0.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.73vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-6.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.83vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.30-5.40vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.72-4.00vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.04-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.89George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.42Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.53Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.87Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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13.0Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.46Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 20.3% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Merritt Moran | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 22.6% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.