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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.33+9.62vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+7.53vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.51+6.93vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+5.78vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.20vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87+1.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-4.13vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.04+2.62vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.67vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-1.44vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-0.19vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-6.30vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.72-1.39vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-4.42vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.01-8.39vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.23-5.96vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.30-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.62Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.53College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.93George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.11Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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3.87Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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11.62Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.56Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.81Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.61Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.58Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merritt Moran | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 21.9% | 20.6% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 21.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.