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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+10.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+5.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+4.75vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+4.40vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+2.31vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.05+4.62vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.84vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99+2.21vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+0.72vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+0.78vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.12vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-4.16vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-1.48vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-5.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.01-7.31vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.07-5.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-7.42vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.23Boston College2.343.6%1st Place
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7.28Georgetown University2.768.8%1st Place
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7.75Yale University3.207.2%1st Place
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8.4Tulane University2.466.9%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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10.62George Washington University2.054.5%1st Place
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8.84University of Pennsylvania2.427.0%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University1.994.7%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College2.295.2%1st Place
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10.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.6%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.7%1st Place
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7.84Stanford University2.937.0%1st Place
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11.52Brown University2.293.0%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.5%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Naval Academy3.018.0%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University2.073.9%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.205.1%1st Place
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12.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Matt Logue | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| JC Hermus | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| David Eastwood | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| John Ped | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.