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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+7.57vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.87vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+4.90vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+3.26vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+2.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+3.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.05+3.70vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.58vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+1.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.01-2.29vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.34+0.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+0.65vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-1.60vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.07-3.41vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.99-4.76vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-6.26vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.93-9.03vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57Tulane University2.466.5%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.4%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.207.4%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University2.769.3%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.908.3%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.204.2%1st Place
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10.7George Washington University2.054.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania2.426.0%1st Place
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10.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.8%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy3.018.2%1st Place
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11.23Boston College2.343.9%1st Place
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12.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.1%1st Place
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11.4Brown University2.292.9%1st Place
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10.59Roger Williams University2.074.0%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.995.5%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.294.9%1st Place
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7.97Stanford University2.936.8%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| David Eastwood | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Matt Logue | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| JC Hermus | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% |
| John Ped | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 22.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.