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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.71+8.17vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+7.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+8.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+3.71vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+1.85vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.04+5.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.41vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51+1.76vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-0.76vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.73+3.17vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-6.87vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.09vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.33-2.57vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-4.70vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-8.13vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-6.12vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.72-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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9.71College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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11.8Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.71Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.85Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.76Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.76George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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13.17Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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4.13Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.43Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.88Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.88Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Corbishley | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.6% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 22.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 20.8% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.