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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+9.93vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.20+5.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+4.51vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+6.63vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+2.40vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+4.58vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.72vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93-1.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.10vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.05-0.17vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.46-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-3.66vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.99-3.68vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-2.11vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-7.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.01-9.27vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.29-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.93Boston College2.344.2%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.207.0%1st Place
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7.51Georgetown University2.768.3%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University2.073.7%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College2.909.1%1st Place
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10.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.462.9%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College2.295.4%1st Place
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8.72University of Pennsylvania2.425.6%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University2.938.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University2.053.6%1st Place
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8.43Tulane University2.466.9%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.5%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.993.8%1st Place
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12.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.5%1st Place
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8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.6%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Naval Academy3.017.1%1st Place
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11.59Brown University2.292.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Matt Logue | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| David Eastwood | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| John Ped | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 21.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| JC Hermus | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.