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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+7.04vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+5.86vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+4.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.01+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+4.50vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+4.77vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.99+3.33vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.07+2.72vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+1.56vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+2.65vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-3.66vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.05-1.21vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-4.24vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-2.53vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.42-6.12vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.46-7.50vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.06vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.29-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Yale University3.207.0%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University2.937.6%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.907.8%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy3.017.7%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.205.1%1st Place
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10.77Boston College2.344.0%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University1.993.9%1st Place
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10.72Roger Williams University2.073.9%1st Place
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10.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.2%1st Place
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12.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.5%1st Place
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7.34Georgetown University2.768.6%1st Place
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10.79George Washington University2.054.7%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.7%1st Place
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11.47Brown University2.293.3%1st Place
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8.88University of Pennsylvania2.425.9%1st Place
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8.5Tulane University2.466.7%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.9%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College2.294.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shawn Harvey | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
Jack Parkin | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
JC Hermus | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
David Eastwood | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
Jack DeNatale | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% |
Samuel Merson | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% |
Jake Vickers | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% |
John Ped | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 21.4% |
Jack Reiter | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
Matt Logue | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
Leo Boucher | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
Olivia Belda | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% |
Jordan Bruce | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
Cameron Giblin | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.