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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+6.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.20+6.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+5.17vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+3.58vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+6.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.25vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+3.91vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.05+2.80vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-0.35vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-1.04vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.15vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.34-1.82vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.99-3.76vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.46-6.30vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.90vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-4.16vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.01-10.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Georgetown University2.768.3%1st Place
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8.14Yale University3.207.4%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University2.936.5%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College2.908.1%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University2.073.5%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.2%1st Place
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10.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.5%1st Place
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10.8George Washington University2.054.3%1st Place
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8.25Brown University2.857.6%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.205.0%1st Place
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9.96Connecticut College2.294.2%1st Place
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8.85University of Pennsylvania2.425.9%1st Place
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11.18Boston College2.343.6%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.994.2%1st Place
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8.7Tulane University2.466.8%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.7%1st Place
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12.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.661.8%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Naval Academy3.018.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% |
| Matt Logue | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| David Eastwood | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% |
| John Ped | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 23.2% |
| JC Hermus | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.