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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+7.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+7.73vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.73+10.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10-0.05vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+4.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+1.66vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+3.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-0.37vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.33+1.58vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.04+2.01vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.34vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-4.69vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09-1.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.05vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.72-2.90vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.51-7.00vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.30-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.73College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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13.23Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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3.95Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.5Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.58Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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12.01Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.43Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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13.1Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.0George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.52Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 22.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 21.5% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Merritt Moran | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 21.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.