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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+7.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+5.73vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+5.01vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+4.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+3.25vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+5.00vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+3.10vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+0.91vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-1.28vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+2.79vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.42-2.02vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-1.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-4.23vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.90-7.53vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.07-5.29vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.05-6.09vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.99-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Yale University3.206.8%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Naval Academy3.018.2%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University2.937.3%1st Place
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8.6Tulane University2.466.0%1st Place
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8.25Brown University2.856.8%1st Place
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11.0Boston College2.343.4%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College2.295.7%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.2%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University2.767.3%1st Place
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12.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.3%1st Place
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8.98University of Pennsylvania2.426.3%1st Place
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10.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.0%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.205.4%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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10.71Roger Williams University2.074.7%1st Place
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10.91George Washington University2.054.7%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University1.993.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| JC Hermus | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| John Ped | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 22.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| David Eastwood | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| Matt Logue | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.