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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+6.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.18vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+1.79vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+3.40vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27-0.20vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-1.43vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+0.14vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.85+2.14vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.080.00vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.80-3.51vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.96-1.52vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-3.47vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.45-5.17vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.50vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.06-9.57vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.06-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.8Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.14Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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11.0Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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11.48Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.83Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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14.3University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 9.3% |
| Christina Frost | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Conor O'Neil | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.