← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.90+6.50vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+8.57vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.07+7.63vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.20+4.00vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.46+3.60vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+6.75vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.01+0.73vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.93+0.06vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.29+0.76vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.85-1.62vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.34-0.07vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-3.16vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.49vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.05-3.22vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.99-4.52vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-6.56vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.42-8.27vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University2.76-10.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.5Dartmouth College2.909.4%1st Place
-
10.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.464.0%1st Place
-
10.63Roger Williams University2.073.8%1st Place
-
8.0Yale University3.207.3%1st Place
-
8.6Tulane University2.465.9%1st Place
-
12.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.1%1st Place
-
7.73U. S. Naval Academy3.016.7%1st Place
-
8.06Stanford University2.937.9%1st Place
-
9.76Connecticut College2.294.5%1st Place
-
8.38Brown University2.857.0%1st Place
-
10.93Boston College2.344.0%1st Place
-
8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.0%1st Place
-
12.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.5%1st Place
-
10.78George Washington University2.053.9%1st Place
-
10.48Tufts University1.993.9%1st Place
-
9.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.205.0%1st Place
-
8.73University of Pennsylvania2.426.6%1st Place
-
7.31Georgetown University2.769.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.5% |
| JC Hermus | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| John Ped | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 20.0% |
| Matt Logue | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% |
| David Eastwood | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.