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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.11+3.84vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+3.27vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.59+3.28vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.05+1.82vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.07+3.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-0.99vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.58+2.68vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.80-2.92vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+2.18vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.37-0.99vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.43-4.37vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-0.46vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.58-3.16vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.41-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Tufts University1.1113.9%1st Place
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5.27Boston University1.0111.0%1st Place
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6.28Fairfield University0.598.6%1st Place
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5.82Bowdoin College0.0510.0%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University-0.074.0%1st Place
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5.01Northeastern University1.1814.3%1st Place
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9.68Salve Regina University-0.582.4%1st Place
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5.08University of Vermont0.8011.9%1st Place
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11.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.6%1st Place
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9.01University of New Hampshire-0.373.5%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University0.437.6%1st Place
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11.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.2%1st Place
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9.84Bates College-0.582.5%1st Place
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6.75Brown University0.417.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Benesch | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 9.8% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| cole capizzo | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 29.6% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 6.6% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Cole Perra | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 36.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 12.3% |
| Gabby Collins | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.