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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont4.60+7.84vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.76+6.12vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.85+3.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.78+2.86vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.76+6.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.33+2.79vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.89-0.62vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.98+2.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.49-0.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.11vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College4.15-1.08vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.92-1.65vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.52-5.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-1.59vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida4.10-5.11vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-7.58vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University5.19-11.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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8.12College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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12.21Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
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7.38Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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11.32Stanford University3.980.0%1st Place
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9.4Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.92SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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11.35Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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13.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.89University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton Hayes | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Juan Maegli | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Barrows | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Cy Thompson | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 15.4% |
| Tomas Hornos | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Justin Doane | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Robert Vann | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Gary Herring | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 26.2% |
| Mitchell Hall | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| David Thompson | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.