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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+6.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+10.86vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.76vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+3.44vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+6.12vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.88vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.07+3.64vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.05+2.84vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-0.85vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+0.69vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-2.03vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.46-3.79vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.99-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-4.45vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.93-7.05vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-6.13vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.20-9.10vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Georgetown University2.768.1%1st Place
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12.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.4%1st Place
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8.76University of Pennsylvania2.426.5%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.907.9%1st Place
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11.12Boston College2.342.8%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Naval Academy3.017.1%1st Place
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10.64Roger Williams University2.074.1%1st Place
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10.84George Washington University2.054.1%1st Place
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8.15Brown University2.857.4%1st Place
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10.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.5%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.1%1st Place
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8.21Tulane University2.467.0%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.995.7%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.205.0%1st Place
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7.95Stanford University2.937.3%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.207.2%1st Place
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12.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 21.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% |
| JC Hermus | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Matt Logue | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| David Eastwood | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| John Ped | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.