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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+6.29vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+4.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+3.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.96+7.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+0.67vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.80+2.50vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+1.63vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+1.18vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.39-2.71vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-3.77vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.06+3.23vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-4.60vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-1.79vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-3.48vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.85-3.11vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.45-6.24vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.48Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.23University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.21Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.89Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.76Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 9.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Conor O'Neil | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 42.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Christina Frost | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 12.8% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.