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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+7.04vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+8.55vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.05+7.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+5.42vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+2.45vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.46+2.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.01+0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.65vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+3.97vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93-2.10vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.34-0.14vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-2.27vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-0.42vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.85-5.91vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.07-4.34vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.99-5.63vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.76-9.55vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-8.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Yale University3.206.5%1st Place
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10.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.463.8%1st Place
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10.98George Washington University2.054.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.206.2%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.908.3%1st Place
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8.54Tulane University2.466.6%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Naval Academy3.017.3%1st Place
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8.65University of Pennsylvania2.425.3%1st Place
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12.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.661.8%1st Place
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7.9Stanford University2.938.8%1st Place
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10.86Boston College2.343.4%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College2.295.3%1st Place
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12.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.9%1st Place
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8.09Brown University2.856.9%1st Place
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10.66Roger Williams University2.074.0%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University1.994.1%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University2.768.2%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% |
| Matt Logue | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% |
| David Eastwood | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| JC Hermus | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| John Ped | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 20.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 19.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.