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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+8.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+5.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+4.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+3.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.97+5.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.40+4.15vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.77+2.95vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.02vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.15+1.50vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.13-1.40vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.92-1.16vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-1.29vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.45-5.19vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.41-6.39vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.08vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.34-7.94vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.90-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.0%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College2.759.4%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University2.556.5%1st Place
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7.49Yale University2.928.8%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.2%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Naval Academy1.973.9%1st Place
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11.15Brown University2.404.0%1st Place
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10.95Tulane University1.773.5%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.1%1st Place
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11.5Tufts University2.152.9%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University2.135.3%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College1.923.8%1st Place
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11.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.9%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University2.415.8%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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9.06Boston College2.345.9%1st Place
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10.86University of Pennsylvania1.902.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Gray Benson | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.5% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Scott Mais | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.