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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+6.30vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+9.69vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.40+7.33vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+2.37vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+2.49vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.41+1.33vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.34+1.04vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.13+0.60vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92+0.97vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.27vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.82vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-3.04vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.55-6.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.45vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.15-4.32vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.97-6.04vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.77-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Dartmouth College2.759.2%1st Place
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11.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.8%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
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11.33Brown University2.403.9%1st Place
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7.37Yale University2.927.5%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.456.9%1st Place
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8.33Georgetown University2.416.0%1st Place
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9.04Boston College2.345.8%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University2.135.4%1st Place
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10.97Connecticut College1.923.7%1st Place
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10.73University of Pennsylvania1.904.0%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.3%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.044.0%1st Place
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7.88Stanford University2.558.6%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.8%1st Place
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11.68Tufts University2.152.9%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Naval Academy1.974.5%1st Place
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11.0Tulane University1.773.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Scott Mais | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.6% |
| Gray Benson | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.