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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+6.20vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+5.24vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.80+5.28vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.39+2.23vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.96+6.39vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26+0.79vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.06+6.00vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.45+0.89vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-3.50vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-6.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-3.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-3.33vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-4.93vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.85-4.96vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.74-9.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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11.39Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.79Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.0University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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9.89Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.5Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.52Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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11.07Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.04Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor O'Neil | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 42.8% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 11.5% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christina Frost | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 9.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 7.7% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.