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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+6.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+4.06vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.85+8.80vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45+5.70vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+2.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+4.60vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.96+4.49vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51-2.32vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27-2.19vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.80-1.76vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+0.65vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-6.67vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-5.32vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University3.26-8.28vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.06-1.83vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.08-5.82vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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11.8Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.7Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.49Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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11.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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6.33Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.68Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.72Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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14.17University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.4Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.9% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Christina Frost | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 11.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Conor O'Neil | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 41.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.