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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+8.77vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.40+9.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.97+8.00vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+3.86vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+2.44vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.77+4.87vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-0.67vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.41-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.90+0.59vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92+0.06vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-0.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.39vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.15-2.31vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.13-5.37vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.13vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.34-8.01vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.45-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.044.4%1st Place
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11.24Brown University2.403.2%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Naval Academy1.973.2%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University2.558.2%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.758.2%1st Place
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10.87Tulane University1.774.3%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.4%1st Place
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7.33Yale University2.927.8%1st Place
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8.56Georgetown University2.417.5%1st Place
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10.59University of Pennsylvania1.904.4%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College1.923.4%1st Place
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11.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.002.4%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.6%1st Place
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11.69Tufts University2.153.5%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University2.134.7%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
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8.99Boston College2.345.7%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.456.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% |
| Gray Benson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Scott Mais | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% |
| Charles Carraway | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.6% |
| Cameron Feves | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.