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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+6.25vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+4.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+3.61vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+3.44vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.14vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.80+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.51-1.27vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-0.22vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.45-0.47vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-4.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.58vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-1.78vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.85-1.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.06-0.85vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.96-4.38vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.61Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.19Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.53Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.22Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.05Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Christina Frost | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 12.6% |
| Conor O'Neil | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 41.8% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 10.6% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.