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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+4.62vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.19vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+6.35vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+4.66vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+1.44vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39+0.30vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.03+0.52vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27-2.54vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-2.43vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.45-1.42vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-0.37vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.96-1.51vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.85-1.97vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.80-6.56vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-5.01vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.06-2.70vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.35Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.44Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.58Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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11.49Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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12.03Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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10.99Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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14.3University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Barry | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 10.6% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Conor O'Neil | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 39.5% |
| Christina Frost | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.