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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+4.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.82+7.23vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51+3.76vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.72+5.55vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84+0.62vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45+0.85vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+4.14vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.96+0.93vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-5.47vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.81-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-4.62vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.51-1.45vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.49-6.15vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.35-3.09vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.62-1.79vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.56-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.23Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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10.55Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.85Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.93Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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4.53Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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10.51Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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11.91Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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14.21Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| George Luber | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 15.6% |
| Philip Koch | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 16.9% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| James Kennedy | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.8% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 37.8% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.