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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+7.41vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+9.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.43vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+6.09vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.97vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.13+3.50vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.61+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.90+2.50vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-0.39vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+1.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.15+0.59vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.75-4.88vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.40-1.91vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-4.20vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.92-7.58vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.97-5.06vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.92-6.18vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-10.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Georgetown University2.417.6%1st Place
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11.59Tulane University2.212.9%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.4%1st Place
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10.09Boston College2.144.3%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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9.5George Washington University2.134.5%1st Place
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7.45Stanford University2.618.7%1st Place
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10.5University of Pennsylvania1.904.5%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University2.455.7%1st Place
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11.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.8%1st Place
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11.59Tufts University2.153.5%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College2.758.5%1st Place
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11.09Brown University2.403.8%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.0%1st Place
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7.42Yale University2.928.2%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Naval Academy1.974.2%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College1.923.3%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Cameron Feves | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Gray Benson | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.