← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.14+9.02vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.92+5.08vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.45+5.42vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.30vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+4.84vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.97+5.23vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.40+3.91vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.11vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.52vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.13-0.59vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.61-3.85vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.41-3.81vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.21-1.41vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.95-3.62vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-3.43vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania1.90-5.52vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-8.50vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.15-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.02Boston College2.145.0%1st Place
-
7.08Yale University2.929.2%1st Place
-
8.42Roger Williams University2.456.9%1st Place
-
7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.2%1st Place
-
9.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.044.9%1st Place
-
11.23U. S. Naval Academy1.973.4%1st Place
-
10.91Brown University2.403.8%1st Place
-
7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.5%1st Place
-
9.52U. S. Military Academy2.055.1%1st Place
-
9.41George Washington University2.134.3%1st Place
-
7.15Stanford University2.6110.4%1st Place
-
8.19Georgetown University2.416.6%1st Place
-
11.59Tulane University2.213.2%1st Place
-
10.38Connecticut College1.954.0%1st Place
-
11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.6%1st Place
-
10.48University of Pennsylvania1.904.5%1st Place
-
8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.8%1st Place
-
11.52Tufts University2.153.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Gray Benson | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| James Paul | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Cameron Feves | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Scott Mais | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 13.0% |
| Walter Henry | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.