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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+4.14vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.84+4.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.34vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+3.79vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+2.53vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.96+3.92vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.72+3.71vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.82+2.07vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.81+1.50vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.51+1.29vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.35+1.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-4.56vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.56-5.43vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-9.33vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.58vs Predicted
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17Yale University0.62-2.80vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-10.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.39Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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10.71Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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10.07Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.5Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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11.29Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.04Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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4.67Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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12.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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14.2Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.99Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| James Kennedy | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Philip Koch | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Reid Secondo | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 15.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 16.4% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 39.1% |
| John Silvestri | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.