← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.58+6.24vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+2.47vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.51+4.64vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.38vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.96+4.59vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.49+1.96vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.19-1.75vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.45-0.23vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College1.72+1.87vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.82+0.14vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.84-4.37vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.36vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.81-2.54vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.51-2.45vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College1.35-3.04vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.56-8.47vs Predicted
-
18Yale University0.62-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.24University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
4.47Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
-
7.64Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
9.59Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
-
7.96Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.25Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
7.77Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
10.87Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
-
10.14Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.63Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
12.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
10.46Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
-
11.55Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
-
11.96Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
-
7.53University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
-
14.21Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ceely | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 18.8% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Philip Koch | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| James Kennedy | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| George Luber | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 16.4% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 12.5% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.