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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+3.85vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+3.09vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.05+3.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.41+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.80+0.24vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.59+0.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.11-2.12vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.58+1.48vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.58+0.69vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.07-1.90vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.43-4.24vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-0.80vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.37-3.86vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Northeastern University1.1814.1%1st Place
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5.09Boston University1.0112.6%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College0.059.3%1st Place
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6.6Brown University0.417.8%1st Place
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5.24University of Vermont0.8011.6%1st Place
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6.39Fairfield University0.598.2%1st Place
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4.88Tufts University1.1113.8%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University-0.583.3%1st Place
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9.69Bates College-0.582.6%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University-0.074.3%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University0.436.0%1st Place
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11.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.0%1st Place
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9.14University of New Hampshire-0.373.5%1st Place
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11.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Brayden Benesch | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 10.4% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| cole capizzo | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 30.9% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| Cole Perra | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 20.0% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.