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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+6.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.52+7.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University5.19+3.45vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+5.25vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.98+6.16vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.78+1.88vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.49+2.11vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.51vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont4.60-0.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+3.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.33-0.98vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76+0.55vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.76-5.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.34-4.54vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-7.36vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.85-8.32vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-5.31vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida4.10-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University4.520.0%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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11.16Stanford University3.980.0%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.11Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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10.51SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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13.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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12.55Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.68Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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11.69Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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10.65University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| David Thompson | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% |
| Justin Doane | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Cy Thompson | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Gary Herring | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 27.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Juan Maegli | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Robert Vann | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Barrows | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Mitchell Hall | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.