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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+4.12vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.51+5.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.82+7.22vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84+2.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.81+5.13vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+2.13vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.96+2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-0.68vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-4.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.72+0.54vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-3.07vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51-0.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.47vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.35-1.91vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-7.66vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.56-8.49vs Predicted
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17Yale University0.62-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Boston College3.190.2%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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10.22Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.13Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.13Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.8Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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4.71Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.54Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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7.93Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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11.34Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.09Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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14.23Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 16.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| John Silvestri | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Philip Koch | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.5% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| James Kennedy | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% |
| George Luber | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 16.7% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 12.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.