← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.19+4.27vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.51+5.71vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University2.45+5.07vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.49+3.97vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.82+5.28vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.96+4.16vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College1.72+3.84vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.84-1.45vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.30vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University2.29-1.44vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.81-0.40vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.58-4.42vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.42-8.20vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College1.35-1.72vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.42vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.56-8.31vs Predicted
-
17Yale University0.62-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.27Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
7.71Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.07Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.97Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
-
10.28Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
-
10.16Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
-
10.84Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
-
6.55Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.56Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
10.6Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
-
7.58University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
4.8Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
-
12.28Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
-
12.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
7.69University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
-
14.35Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 14.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| John Silvestri | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| James Kennedy | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Philip Koch | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 15.9% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% |
| George Luber | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 18.3% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.