Race 1A

outlaw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Thomas Pentimonti 14.2% 15.4% 16.0% 14.1% 13.8% 12.1% 9.2% 4.2% 0.9%
Tyler Nolasco 15.6% 14.2% 12.5% 14.6% 15.6% 12.2% 9.7% 4.8% 0.8%
Nikolo Vo 12.6% 12.7% 14.6% 13.8% 13.5% 14.1% 12.0% 5.8% 1.1%
Luke Serra 21.2% 19.4% 16.3% 13.8% 12.1% 10.2% 5.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Emily Avey 9.9% 9.2% 11.3% 12.6% 12.6% 16.6% 14.4% 11.2% 2.2%
Maxwell Dodd 4.4% 5.2% 4.7% 7.0% 7.9% 10.5% 18.2% 29.8% 12.4%
Dalton Lovett 16.4% 16.6% 16.6% 15.3% 13.5% 9.8% 7.3% 3.9% 0.5%
Ben Lewis 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 5.2% 13.2% 70.0%
Sarah Kahle 4.7% 5.8% 6.3% 7.2% 8.6% 11.0% 18.9% 25.4% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.