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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.51+2.86vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.67+1.75vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.91+0.43vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.46+0.23vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.60+1.39vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.64-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11-2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.66-1.79vs Predicted
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9-2.11-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Washington0.5116.4%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University0.6717.6%1st Place
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3.43Oregon State University0.9119.0%1st Place
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4.23Oregon State University0.4613.3%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University-0.604.0%1st Place
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4.03Western Washington University0.6414.8%1st Place
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4.87University of Oregon0.119.7%1st Place
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6.21University of Washington-0.664.0%1st Place
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8.24-2.111.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 17.6% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Luke Serra | 19.0% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nikolo Vo | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 28.5% | 13.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Emily Avey | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Kahle | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 27.5% | 10.4% |
| Ben Lewis | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.