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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.51+3.02vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.46+2.07vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.60+3.37vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.91-0.63vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.64-1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.66-0.74vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.67-4.19vs Predicted
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9-2.11-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of Washington0.5115.6%1st Place
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4.07Oregon State University0.4615.0%1st Place
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6.37Western Washington University-0.604.0%1st Place
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3.37Oregon State University0.9120.2%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University0.6415.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Oregon0.119.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Washington-0.663.8%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University0.6716.4%1st Place
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8.23-2.110.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 15.6% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Nikolo Vo | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 28.5% | 12.4% |
| Luke Serra | 20.2% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 15.1% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Emily Avey | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Kahle | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 18.2% | 28.1% | 11.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 16.4% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.