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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.51+3.00vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.91+1.34vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.64+1.07vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.46+0.20vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.60+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11-1.16vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.67-3.21vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.66-1.86vs Predicted
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9-2.11-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Washington0.5113.4%1st Place
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3.34Oregon State University0.9122.0%1st Place
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4.07Western Washington University0.6413.2%1st Place
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4.2Oregon State University0.4613.1%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University-0.604.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Oregon0.1110.4%1st Place
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3.79Western Washington University0.6718.8%1st Place
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6.14University of Washington-0.663.9%1st Place
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8.23-2.111.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 13.4% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Luke Serra | 22.0% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Nikolo Vo | 13.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 29.6% | 12.8% |
| Emily Avey | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 2.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 18.8% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Kahle | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 10.8% |
| Ben Lewis | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.