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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.96+8.74vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+8.40vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+4.94vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+1.48vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+2.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-1.17vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.72+3.89vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.81+2.28vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45-0.71vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.35+2.11vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-2.09vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.56-4.35vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.62+1.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-7.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-7.53vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-8.40vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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10.4Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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10.89Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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10.28Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.29Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.11Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.91Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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14.34Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.74Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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12.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Koch | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| James Kennedy | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 12.5% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| Peter Bailey | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| John Silvestri | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 43.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| George Luber | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.