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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.36+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.39+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.62+2.65vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.10+0.57vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.23-1.10vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.04-1.66vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.83-0.82vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.00-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.82-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Western Washington University0.3618.9%1st Place
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4.12University of Washington-1.3914.7%1st Place
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5.65University of Washington-0.627.3%1st Place
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4.57Western Washington University-0.1012.3%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University0.2316.9%1st Place
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4.34Oregon State University0.0413.7%1st Place
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6.18Oregon State University-0.835.1%1st Place
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6.43Oregon State University-1.005.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Oregon-0.826.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Leopold Sabharwal | 18.9% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
Emily Smith | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
Jenna Hiegel | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 14.0% |
Cooper Snell | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
Kira Blumhagen | 16.9% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
Liam Brinton | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
Paul Schreiner | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 22.2% |
Quincy Spurlock | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 27.4% |
Sadie Creemer | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.