← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.23+2.95vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-1.39+2.03vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University0.04+1.41vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.62+1.71vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.10-0.45vs Predicted
-
6Oregon State University-1.00+0.42vs Predicted
-
7Oregon State University-0.83-0.86vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.36-4.29vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-0.82-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.95Western Washington University0.2316.2%1st Place
-
4.03University of Washington-1.3914.9%1st Place
-
4.41Oregon State University0.0413.1%1st Place
-
5.71University of Washington-0.626.9%1st Place
-
4.55Western Washington University-0.1012.1%1st Place
-
6.42Oregon State University-1.005.7%1st Place
-
6.14Oregon State University-0.835.9%1st Place
-
3.71Western Washington University0.3619.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of Oregon-0.826.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kira Blumhagen | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
Emily Smith | 14.9% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
Liam Brinton | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
Jenna Hiegel | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 13.8% |
Cooper Snell | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
Quincy Spurlock | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 28.0% |
Paul Schreiner | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 21.5% |
Leopold Sabharwal | 19.1% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
Sadie Creemer | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.