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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+8.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.95+5.93vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+3.20vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+6.11vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+1.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84+2.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.78+1.45vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.03+0.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.17+1.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-0.28vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.41-4.96vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.75-3.73vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.67-4.92vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.78-6.21vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-2.18vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.32-2.79vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.98vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.19-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.76University of Rhode Island2.104.6%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College1.957.5%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College2.3810.7%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.5%1st Place
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6.61Boston College2.569.6%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.845.8%1st Place
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8.45Brown University1.787.1%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.036.8%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University1.173.4%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.2%1st Place
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6.04Stanford University2.4111.7%1st Place
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8.27Yale University1.755.9%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.676.0%1st Place
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7.79North Carolina State University1.787.6%1st Place
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12.82Connecticut College0.651.7%1st Place
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13.21Salve Regina University1.321.7%1st Place
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14.02Olin College of Engineering0.221.3%1st Place
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14.95University of Texas0.190.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Abate | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Justin Lim | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larson | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 11.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| James Jagielski | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 23.6% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.