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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+2.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+4.62vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.37+4.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.80+6.29vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+2.53vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+4.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22+2.51vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.58-3.67vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.29-4.79vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.48-2.46vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-4.85vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.20-2.98vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-4.15vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.06-1.46vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.20-3.30vs Predicted
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18Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Harvard University3.1820.9%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.347.6%1st Place
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7.3Brown University2.376.8%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University2.228.4%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont0.802.2%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University2.6810.8%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island1.423.9%1st Place
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12.33Boston University1.071.5%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University1.221.9%1st Place
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6.33Boston College2.589.8%1st Place
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6.21Yale University2.299.4%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College1.483.9%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.5%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College1.202.6%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.401.9%1st Place
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14.54Maine Maritime Academy-0.060.9%1st Place
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13.7Salve Regina University0.201.2%1st Place
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15.76Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.360.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 20.9% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Porter Bell | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Peter Busch | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Finn Deprez | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 22.9% | 22.2% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 13.6% |
| Owen Peterson | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.