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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.08+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.13+0.79vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.62+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.14-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound0.03-0.89vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.49-5.27vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.40-4.40vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.81-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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2.79University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
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3.53Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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2.81University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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6.11University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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3.73Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 25.1% | 24.4% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 17.6% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Antonio Johnson | 26.1% | 22.2% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Trombatore | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 31.2% | 22.9% |
| Andrew Nelson | 13.5% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 23.0% | 26.3% | 13.1% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 19.6% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.