← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.18+3.79vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.01+3.15vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College0.05+3.07vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.59+2.36vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.80+0.14vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.11-1.31vs Predicted
-
7Brown University0.41-0.26vs Predicted
-
8Bates College-0.58+1.78vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University-0.58+0.45vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.37-0.87vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University0.43-4.19vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-0.84vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-1.50vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University-0.07-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.79Northeastern University1.1815.3%1st Place
-
5.15Boston University1.0111.9%1st Place
-
6.07Bowdoin College0.058.3%1st Place
-
6.36Fairfield University0.597.6%1st Place
-
5.14University of Vermont0.8012.3%1st Place
-
4.69Tufts University1.1115.3%1st Place
-
6.74Brown University0.416.9%1st Place
-
9.78Bates College-0.582.6%1st Place
-
9.45Salve Regina University-0.582.9%1st Place
-
9.13University of New Hampshire-0.373.4%1st Place
-
6.81Tufts University0.436.3%1st Place
-
11.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.1%1st Place
-
11.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.1%1st Place
-
8.23Harvard University-0.074.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brayden Benesch | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 10.3% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 9.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| cole capizzo | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 29.6% |
| Cole Perra | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 37.5% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.