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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+8.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.49+7.35vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+8.85vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.59vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.89+2.39vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College4.15+4.60vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+2.29vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida4.10+2.70vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont4.60-0.39vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.07vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.33-1.07vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.74vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.76-1.02vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.85-6.67vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.98-3.75vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.76-7.91vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University5.19-10.64vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University4.78-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17Harvard University4.520.0%1st Place
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9.35Brown University4.490.0%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.6SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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9.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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10.7University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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13.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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11.98Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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7.33Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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11.25Stanford University3.980.0%1st Place
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8.09College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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6.36Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Fred Strammer | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| David Thompson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Mitchell Hall | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Clinton Hayes | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Robert Vann | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Gary Herring | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 30.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.3% |
| Thomas Barrows | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Justin Doane | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% |
| Juan Maegli | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.