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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+8.73vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.75+6.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+3.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.78+4.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84+3.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+4.07vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+0.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.67+0.41vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.03-1.01vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.41-3.99vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-4.34vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65+0.67vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.41vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.78-6.31vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.80vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.32-2.72vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.17-6.37vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.19-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.104.2%1st Place
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8.32Yale University1.756.5%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.3810.4%1st Place
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8.51Brown University1.785.4%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.847.1%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.6%1st Place
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7.86Dartmouth College1.956.9%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University1.675.4%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University2.037.2%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University2.4111.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College2.569.6%1st Place
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12.67Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.3%1st Place
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7.69North Carolina State University1.787.6%1st Place
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14.2Olin College of Engineering0.221.1%1st Place
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13.28Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University1.173.4%1st Place
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15.03University of Texas0.190.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Alex Abate | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Justin Lim | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 11.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Adam Larson | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 23.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 18.3% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.