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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.78+7.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.67+6.26vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.32+9.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+4.87vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+0.64vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+1.10vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.75+0.27vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.78-0.97vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.41-4.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84-2.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.03-3.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.17-3.27vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-5.09vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.65-3.20vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.19-2.35vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Brown University1.786.4%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University1.676.5%1st Place
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12.99Salve Regina University1.321.9%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.3811.6%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.104.5%1st Place
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6.64Boston College2.568.9%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College1.956.8%1st Place
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8.27Yale University1.755.5%1st Place
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8.03North Carolina State University1.785.7%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University2.4112.2%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.846.9%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University2.036.6%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.6%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University1.173.4%1st Place
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9.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.6%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College0.651.8%1st Place
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14.65University of Texas0.191.2%1st Place
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14.15Olin College of Engineering0.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| John Eastman | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.7% |
| William Michels | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Adam Larson | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Justin Lim | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Alex Abate | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 33.2% |
| James Jagielski | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.