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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+9.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.75+6.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.03+5.01vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.32+9.13vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.78+2.84vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+0.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67+1.33vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.41-2.04vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.95-0.92vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10-0.25vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.65+1.73vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.78-3.58vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.17-2.33vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-7.88vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-5.03vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84-7.99vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.89vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.19-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.5%1st Place
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8.5Yale University1.756.6%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University2.036.6%1st Place
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13.13Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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7.84North Carolina State University1.786.6%1st Place
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6.69Boston College2.569.2%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University1.676.3%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University2.4111.1%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College1.957.8%1st Place
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9.75University of Rhode Island2.104.7%1st Place
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12.73Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
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8.42Brown University1.785.5%1st Place
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10.67Northeastern University1.173.0%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College2.3811.8%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.7%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.847.1%1st Place
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14.11Olin College of Engineering0.221.2%1st Place
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14.63University of Texas0.190.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Abate | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
Nicholas Davies | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Alex Fasolo | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.5% |
Adam Larson | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Colleen O'Brien | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
John Eastman | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Justin Lim | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Oliver Hurwitz | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Aidan naughton | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 10.9% |
Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Ted Bjerregaard | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
William Michels | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
William Weinbecker | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
Nathan Olmsted | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
James Jagielski | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 27.8% |
Theresa McComiskey | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.