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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+7.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.03+6.11vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+3.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.78+4.66vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.78+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+3.88vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.39+2.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84+0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.19+5.72vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+0.04vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.38-4.73vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.75-3.46vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.32+0.27vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.56-7.51vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.85vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-3.65vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-7.08vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.67-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Dartmouth College1.955.9%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University2.037.1%1st Place
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6.12Stanford University2.4111.1%1st Place
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8.66Brown University1.786.5%1st Place
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7.82North Carolina State University1.786.7%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island2.104.0%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University1.394.0%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.846.7%1st Place
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14.72University of Texas0.190.9%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.245.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College2.3811.2%1st Place
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8.54Yale University1.755.9%1st Place
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13.27Salve Regina University1.321.6%1st Place
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6.49Boston College2.569.4%1st Place
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14.15Olin College of Engineering0.221.3%1st Place
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12.35Connecticut College0.882.7%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.8%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University1.675.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Justin Lim | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Adam Larson | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Everett Nash | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 35.2% |
| Alex Abate | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| William Michels | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 26.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| John Eastman | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.