← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.56+5.54vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.03+5.94vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.67+5.48vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.78+3.92vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84+3.45vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.32+7.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.10+2.70vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.38-1.90vs Predicted
-
9University of Texas0.19+5.72vs Predicted
-
10Yale University1.75-1.48vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-0.86vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University2.41-5.90vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College1.95-5.13vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.78-5.40vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-5.08vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.88-3.64vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.39-6.99vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54Boston College2.569.4%1st Place
-
7.94Tufts University2.037.0%1st Place
-
8.48Tufts University1.676.2%1st Place
-
7.92North Carolina State University1.786.1%1st Place
-
8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.845.8%1st Place
-
13.38Salve Regina University1.321.6%1st Place
-
9.7University of Rhode Island2.104.2%1st Place
-
6.1Dartmouth College2.3811.8%1st Place
-
14.72University of Texas0.191.1%1st Place
-
8.52Yale University1.757.3%1st Place
-
10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.6%1st Place
-
6.1Stanford University2.4110.8%1st Place
-
7.87Dartmouth College1.956.7%1st Place
-
8.6Brown University1.785.7%1st Place
-
9.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.9%1st Place
-
12.36Connecticut College0.882.2%1st Place
-
10.01Northeastern University1.394.2%1st Place
-
14.26Olin College of Engineering0.221.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larson | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| William Michels | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 33.7% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alex Abate | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Justin Lim | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 8.8% |
| Everett Nash | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| James Jagielski | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.