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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.75+7.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+4.22vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+3.79vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.95+3.94vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.41+1.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+3.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84+1.22vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.32+5.33vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+0.83vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.22+4.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.00vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.78-3.38vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.78-5.05vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.67-5.67vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.19-0.05vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.39-6.38vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.03-8.90vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.88-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Yale University1.756.2%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College2.3811.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston College2.569.8%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College1.957.8%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University2.4110.9%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.8%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.845.5%1st Place
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13.33Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island2.103.8%1st Place
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14.13Olin College of Engineering0.221.1%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.1%1st Place
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8.62Brown University1.785.5%1st Place
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7.95North Carolina State University1.786.7%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University1.675.8%1st Place
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14.95University of Texas0.191.4%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University1.395.5%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University2.035.9%1st Place
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12.38Connecticut College0.882.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Davies | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Justin Lim | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Abate | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 25.6% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Adam Larson | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 36.6% |
| Everett Nash | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.