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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.17vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+3.26vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+2.45vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.59vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+1.68vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.81+3.06vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90-1.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.32-0.40vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.07-0.73vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-3.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.57vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.26College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.68Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.06Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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5.95University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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6.44Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.11Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 25.4% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 12.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 31.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Kate Klement | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 17.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Maeve White | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.