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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+6.96vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.41+4.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+6.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.03+4.00vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+1.18vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.75+2.54vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.78+0.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84+0.27vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.78-0.42vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.32+3.33vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-1.05vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.39-2.01vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.28vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-4.17vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.56-8.26vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-3.62vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.67-8.79vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.19-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Dartmouth College1.957.5%1st Place
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6.18Stanford University2.4110.9%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.1%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University2.036.6%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College2.3810.8%1st Place
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8.54Yale University1.754.9%1st Place
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7.97North Carolina State University1.787.3%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.846.5%1st Place
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8.58Brown University1.785.8%1st Place
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13.33Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.7%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University1.393.9%1st Place
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14.28Olin College of Engineering0.221.5%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island2.103.9%1st Place
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6.74Boston College2.569.5%1st Place
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12.38Connecticut College0.882.0%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University1.676.6%1st Place
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14.92University of Texas0.191.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Justin Lim | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Adam Larson | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
| Alex Abate | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Everett Nash | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| James Jagielski | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 26.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
| John Eastman | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.