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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.20vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+3.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.59vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.32+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+0.08vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71-0.51vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92-2.02vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-2.63vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-4.56vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.81-1.91vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.07-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.08University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.98Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.09Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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8.43College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 26.3% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Kate Klement | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Maeve White | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 29.5% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.