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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.78+7.31vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+4.73vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+4.91vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+5.92vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.03+3.18vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+0.09vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.78+0.82vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.41-1.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+0.78vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.32+2.93vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.17-0.49vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.75-3.45vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.67-4.80vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84-5.82vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-4.95vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.19-1.30vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.65-4.28vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Brown University1.786.8%1st Place
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6.73Boston College2.569.1%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College1.957.7%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island2.104.3%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University2.036.1%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College2.3811.2%1st Place
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7.82North Carolina State University1.787.2%1st Place
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6.06Stanford University2.4110.9%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.8%1st Place
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12.93Salve Regina University1.322.6%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University1.174.0%1st Place
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8.55Yale University1.756.2%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University1.676.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.845.2%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.3%1st Place
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14.7University of Texas0.191.5%1st Place
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12.72Connecticut College0.652.2%1st Place
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14.36Olin College of Engineering0.220.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Justin Lim | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| John Eastman | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alex Abate | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 31.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% |
| James Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.