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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.19vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+3.29vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+2.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.61vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+1.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90-1.04vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.07+0.23vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71-2.54vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-4.02vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-3.16vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.81-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.55Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.98Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.09Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 25.5% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 6.5% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Maeve White | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Kate Klement | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.