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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+5.55vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.17+8.57vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+3.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.75+4.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+4.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+2.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.75vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.78+0.47vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.78-1.31vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+0.02vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.32+2.24vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.67-3.73vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84-4.98vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-7.81vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.89vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.19-1.09vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.65-4.20vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.03-10.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Boston College2.5610.1%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University1.173.5%1st Place
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6.13Stanford University2.4111.3%1st Place
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8.46Yale University1.755.8%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island2.104.5%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College1.955.9%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.9%1st Place
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8.47Brown University1.785.8%1st Place
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7.69North Carolina State University1.787.3%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.7%1st Place
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13.24Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University1.675.2%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.847.2%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.3810.0%1st Place
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14.11Olin College of Engineering0.221.4%1st Place
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14.91University of Texas0.190.7%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University2.037.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Justin Lim | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larson | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Abate | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
| John Eastman | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 25.3% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 34.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.