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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.19vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+3.45vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+2.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+2.11vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+1.09vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.81+3.04vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71-0.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.51vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.07-0.75vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.78vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-3.16vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.11University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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6.09Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.04Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.56Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 25.5% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Maeve White | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 31.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 16.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Kate Klement | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 13.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.