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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+4.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.31vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+2.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.60vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.81+3.99vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+0.11vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.32+0.53vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-4.87vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.07-0.71vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.71-3.44vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.92-4.84vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.99Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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6.11University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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3.13Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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6.56Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.16Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 11.3% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 31.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Kate Klement | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 27.5% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 18.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Maeve White | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.