← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.78+7.57vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.41+4.04vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.56+3.68vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.10+5.84vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84+3.22vs Predicted
-
6Yale University1.75+2.49vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.67+1.38vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.38-1.79vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University1.78-1.42vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.17+0.73vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.36vs Predicted
-
12Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.12vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College1.95-4.94vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-4.00vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.03-7.00vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.32-2.91vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.65-4.44vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas0.19-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.57Brown University1.786.2%1st Place
-
6.04Stanford University2.4112.2%1st Place
-
6.68Boston College2.569.2%1st Place
-
9.84University of Rhode Island2.104.4%1st Place
-
8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.845.7%1st Place
-
8.49Yale University1.756.2%1st Place
-
8.38Tufts University1.675.6%1st Place
-
6.21Dartmouth College2.3811.2%1st Place
-
7.58North Carolina State University1.788.5%1st Place
-
10.73Northeastern University1.173.3%1st Place
-
9.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.7%1st Place
-
14.12Olin College of Engineering0.221.4%1st Place
-
8.06Dartmouth College1.956.7%1st Place
-
10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.0%1st Place
-
8.0Tufts University2.035.9%1st Place
-
13.09Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
-
12.56Connecticut College0.652.3%1st Place
-
14.8University of Texas0.191.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Justin Lim | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| John Eastman | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 26.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alex Abate | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 15.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.6% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.